Who Not to Draft in Fantasy Football: A Guide to Avoiding the Benchwarmers and the Overhyped

blog 2025-01-22 0Browse 0
Who Not to Draft in Fantasy Football: A Guide to Avoiding the Benchwarmers and the Overhyped

Fantasy football is a game of strategy, foresight, and sometimes, a bit of luck. One of the most critical decisions you’ll make is who not to draft. Avoiding certain players can be just as important as picking the right ones. Here’s a comprehensive guide to help you steer clear of potential pitfalls in your fantasy football draft.

1. Injury-Prone Players

Injuries are an unfortunate reality in football, and some players seem to be more susceptible than others. Drafting a player with a history of injuries can be a risky move. While they might have high potential, the likelihood of them missing significant playing time is high. Players like Saquon Barkley, who has had multiple injuries in recent seasons, might be tempting, but the risk often outweighs the reward.

2. Players in Timeshares

Running backs and wide receivers in timeshares can be frustrating for fantasy owners. These players often split carries or targets, limiting their fantasy output. For example, a running back like Miles Sanders might be part of a committee, reducing his overall value. It’s often better to draft a player who is the clear starter in their position.

3. Overhyped Rookies

Rookies can be exciting, but they are also unpredictable. While some rookies like Ja’Marr Chase have had immediate impacts, many others take time to adjust to the NFL. Drafting a rookie too early can be a gamble. Players like Trevor Lawrence, who was highly touted but had a rocky start, can be risky picks. It’s often better to let someone else take the chance and focus on more proven talent.

4. Players with New Teams

Players who have switched teams in the offseason can be risky. They need time to adjust to new systems, coaches, and teammates. For example, a wide receiver like Allen Robinson, who moved to the Rams, might take time to build chemistry with his new quarterback. While the potential is there, the uncertainty makes them a risky pick.

5. Aging Veterans

While experience can be valuable, aging veterans often see a decline in production. Players like Julio Jones, who is in the latter stages of his career, might not have the same explosiveness they once did. It’s important to consider the age and recent performance of players before drafting them.

6. Players with Tough Schedules

The strength of a player’s schedule can significantly impact their fantasy output. A running back facing a series of top-ranked defenses might struggle to put up big numbers. It’s essential to look at the schedule and consider how it might affect a player’s performance. For example, a player like Derrick Henry might face tougher defenses in the second half of the season, which could limit his production.

7. Players in Bad Offenses

A player’s fantasy value is often tied to the overall performance of their team’s offense. A talented wide receiver on a team with a struggling quarterback might not get the targets or touchdowns needed to be a fantasy star. For example, a player like DJ Moore, who is on a team with inconsistent quarterback play, might not live up to his potential.

8. Players with Off-Field Issues

Off-field issues can be a red flag when drafting players. Legal troubles, suspensions, or even just distractions can affect a player’s performance and availability. Players like Antonio Brown, who has had numerous off-field issues, can be risky picks. It’s often better to avoid players with a history of problems and focus on those who are more reliable.

9. Players in Contract Years

While some players perform exceptionally well in contract years, others might struggle with the pressure. The uncertainty of their future can sometimes affect their performance. It’s important to consider how a player might handle the added pressure of playing for a new contract.

10. Players with New Coaches

A new coach can bring a new system, which might not always benefit a player’s fantasy value. For example, a running back who thrived in a run-heavy offense might struggle in a pass-first system under a new coach. It’s essential to consider how coaching changes might impact a player’s role and production.

11. Players Returning from Major Injuries

Players returning from major injuries, like ACL tears, can be risky. While some players bounce back quickly, others take time to regain their form. It’s important to monitor their recovery and preseason performance before drafting them. Players like Christian McCaffrey, who has had injury issues, might be risky picks despite their high potential.

12. Players in Bad Weather Conditions

Weather can significantly impact a player’s performance, especially for kickers and quarterbacks. Players in cities with harsh winter conditions might struggle in the latter part of the season. It’s important to consider the weather when drafting players, especially those who rely on precision and accuracy.

13. Players with Limited Upside

Some players might have a high floor but limited upside. These players might be consistent but lack the potential for breakout performances. For example, a running back like James Conner might be reliable but unlikely to have many explosive games. It’s often better to draft players with higher upside, even if they come with more risk.

14. Players in Crowded Position Groups

A crowded position group can limit a player’s opportunities. For example, a wide receiver like Michael Gallup, who is part of a deep receiving corps, might not get enough targets to be a reliable fantasy option. It’s important to consider the depth chart and how it might impact a player’s role and production.

15. Players with Questionable Work Ethic

A player’s work ethic can significantly impact their performance and longevity in the NFL. Players with a reputation for being lazy or unmotivated might not live up to their potential. It’s important to consider a player’s character and dedication when making draft decisions.

Q: Should I avoid drafting players from bad teams? A: Not necessarily. While players on bad teams might have fewer opportunities, some can still be valuable. For example, a talented wide receiver on a bad team might still get a lot of targets, especially if the team is often playing from behind.

Q: How important is a player’s schedule when drafting? A: A player’s schedule can be very important, especially for positions like running back and quarterback. Facing tough defenses can limit a player’s production, so it’s essential to consider the schedule when making draft decisions.

Q: Are rookies always a bad pick in fantasy football? A: Not always. Some rookies, like Ja’Marr Chase, can have immediate impacts. However, rookies are generally more unpredictable, so it’s often better to draft them later in the draft or as backups.

Q: Should I avoid drafting players with new coaches? A: It depends. Some players thrive under new coaches, while others struggle to adapt. It’s important to research how a coaching change might impact a player’s role and production before drafting them.

Q: How do I know if a player is injury-prone? A: Look at the player’s injury history. If they have missed significant time in recent seasons, they might be considered injury-prone. It’s also important to monitor their preseason performance and any reports of lingering injuries.

By avoiding these potential pitfalls, you can increase your chances of building a strong and competitive fantasy football team. Remember, the key to success in fantasy football is not just about who you draft, but also about who you choose to avoid.

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